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What to do with UCLA, Texas A&M in Week 3

There’s a lot to like on the Week 3 college football betting board. However, I’m not one to fire on a dozen bets in hopes of finishing 7-5. I like to hone in on less than a handful of wagers that I feel strongly about — high-conviction plays.

Betting tip: Make wagers you love, not wagers you like. That being said, here’s what I love this week:

Best bet: Kansas +9.5 at Houston

The Jayhawks’ season win total was set at 2.5. Kansas is 2-0 for the first time since 2011. Yes, I made coach Lance Leipold’s squad my best bet. And yes, I sprinkled on that near 3-to-1 moneyline. You can listen to my reasons here:

South Alabama +16 at UCLA

This line opened at 14 with money coming in on the Bruins and for good reason. QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson and this UCLA offense is one of the better units in the Pac-12. The problem with UCLA at the moment — like with most teams — is that the stats are a bit skewed based on early weak competition. As it stands, UCLA is fourth best in the country in total defense, but who has it played? A Bowling Green team that finished 4-8 SU in 2021 is already 0-2 straight-up this year.

This early, we still have to look at some of the 2021 metrics because there’s just not enough information with a one- or two-game sample size. The Bruins were bottom 30 in pass defense last season and is facing a pass-heavy team in South Alabama that was ranked top 30 in passing yards last year, and thus far looks to be continuing with the same style of offense. The vulnerabilities in the UCLA secondary mimic that of Central Michigan, the Jaguars’ opponent last week. Jaguars QB Carter Bradley threw for 339 yards and three touchdowns against just one interception. Bradley can exploit this UCLA defense that looks to be better on paper than it actually is.

Miami +6 at Texas A&M

My first look at this game was the…

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Author : Yahoo Sports

Publish date : 2022-09-16 17:32:24

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