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College football Week 4 picks against the spread

Another week of college football is upon us, and that means it’s time to make more picks.

I’ve had a strong season thus far, though last week I went just 3-3. I had a rough beat to start the day as a Western Kentucky vs. Indiana game that seemed destined for to go under the total ended up going into overtime thanks to a touchdown and two-point conversion in the final minute of regulation. Overtime is the enemy of any under bettor, and that doomed my pick.

My two other under bets were losers as well, but I was on the right side with my three other picks. With that said, I’m still nine games over .500 on the year and I’m feeling good headed into Week 4.

Last week: 3-3

Overall: 16-7

(Note: All times ET, odds from BetMGM)

Boise State at UTEP

Time: 9 p.m. (Fri) | TV: CBSSN | Line: Boise State -15.5 | Total: 45.5

Dana Dimel has built UTEP into a competitive program but the Miners are really missing Jacob Cowing and Justin Garrett at receiver. The offense has cratered without those two reliable targets as third-year starting QB Gavin Hardison is completing only 48.8% of his throws. Couple that with one of the worst running attacks in the country and a minus-five turnover margin, and you’ve got a lot of problems on offense.

On the other side, this isn’t your typical Boise State team that can just roll through Mountain West competition. Boise State’s offense has been surprisingly bad, putting up 31 in a road win over New Mexico and just 30 in last weekend’s home win over UT Martin. In those wins, the Broncos have played with a slow tempo and leaned on the run game and their defense.

I think the Broncos win this game pretty easily, but I’m not sure how much they can score. I’m a little worried there could be a defensive touchdown that hurts me here, but I like this under quite a bit rather than trusting Boise to…


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Publish date : 2022-09-21 21:07:20

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