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Five of the best matchups to exploit in Week 3

Special to Yahoo Sports

Schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed, or aFPA, is 4for4’s answer to biased statistics. By removing bias, we can level the playing field and compare matchups in an “apples-to-apples” manner. As the season moves along, the data will change. Once we reach Week 4 the data will give us an initial data set to work with, and at Week 12 the data will be a 10-week rolling set.

Until Week 4, this weekly article will focus on the best plays before aFPA takes shape. Let’s take a look at the best matchups for Week 3.

Goff looked great with 256 passing yards and four passing touchdowns against the Commanders in Week 2. The Lions head on the road for the first time this season and take on a Vikings defense that showed more of who they were Week 2 than Week 1. Minnesota allowed 496 total yards to the Eagles Week 2 compared to 371 Week 1. Aaron Rodgers is a better QB than Goff, but it is clear that Goff and his offensive teammates are operating more efficiently. Give me that offense with competent coaching against a defense that played up to take on their division rival, only to fall to what appears to be an elite offense. Detroit has the opportunity to run the ball with D’Andre Swift and allow Goff to cook with Amon-Ra St. Brown and a strong supporting cast. The Lions have already attempted 77 passes and will more than likely go for 30-plus with their defense hoping to slow Justin Jefferson.

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Despite losing Week 2, the Houston Texans utilized Dameon Pierce more and almost upset the Broncos in Denver. Pierce played on fewer than 29% of snaps Week 1 and saw work on 62% of plays Week 2. Week 3 looks like a great week for Pierce (and possibly Rex Burkhead, too) against the Bears. Chicago has been bludgeoned on the ground in two games, allowing 176 and 203 yards to the 49ers and Packers. Pierce also gets to play a defense he is familiar with, practicing against Lovie Smith’s Cover 2…

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Author : 4for4

Publish date : 2022-09-21 22:28:22

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