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NFL odds: How Justin Herbert’s injury impacted Week 3, MVP lines

By Patrick Everson
FOX Sports Gambling Writer

Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert is officially listed as questionable for Sunday’s home game against the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Oddsmakers and bettors seemingly beg to differ. The Jags-Chargers game saw a significant Friday afternoon drop on the NFL Week 3 oddsboard, for both the point spread and the total. In other words, Herbert isn’t expected to take a snap Sunday.

It went pretty much just as veteran oddsmaker Rex Beyers predicted in a Thursday morning FOX Sports report.

“The line and total won’t close anywhere near where they are now, 7 and 47.5,” Beyers said then. “The spread will be 3 points higher or 3 points lower, maybe 4, depending on if Herbert plays.”

New Numbers

Indeed, by the time the dust settled Friday afternoon, the Chargers dropped from a consensus 7-point favorite down to -3. That all happened in the span of about 45 minutes, even with no official word on Herbert’s status as he works through a rib injury. About an hour later came Herbert’s formal designation of questionable. While some sharp bettors likely beat the news and made bets on Jaguars +7/+6/+5 etc., oddsmakers were definitely on top of the situation.

“We got ahead of the move and the [questionable] tag,” said Neil Fitzroy, risk manager/oddsmaker at The SuperBook. “We took a Jags bet at +4 from a respected player. We’re currently at Chargers -3 (-120). He hasn’t been ruled out yet. But if he is, [the line] should go down another point or so.”

Likewise, WynnBet dropped from Chargers -7 to -6, then to -5, in just six minutes. About a half-hour later, L.A. dipped straight to -3.5, before stabilizing at -3 (-120).

“It looks like Herbert isn’t going to go, so we moved accordingly,” WynnBet trader Andy Morrissey said. “The total crashed Under as well.”

After opening at 47 and sitting at 47.5 since Wednesday morning, the total made a precipitous drop this afternoon. It initially dipped 1.5 points to 46, then steadily made…


Source link : https://www.foxsports.com/stories/nfl/nfl-odds-how-justin-herberts-injury-impacted-week-3-mvp-lines

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Publish date : 2022-09-23 22:00:48

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