Bills air it out; let Kyler Murray cook; where it goes wrong for Packers

By Warren Sharp
FOX Sports NFL Writer

In late September, I wrote in detail about Buffalo’s offense and how, while it was more efficient on a drive basis, the Bills were scoring fewer points early in games due to their lack of explosion in the passing game, their shorter target depth and more frequent third-down attempts.

I stated: “The Ken Dorsey Bills, though they are efficient, have been a far cry from the aggressive and explosive first-half Brian Daboll Bills.”

Buffalo took note and made a massive adjustment against the Steelers on Sunday. The Bills raced to a 31-3 halftime lead, and they did it by throwing deep.

Examine Josh Allen’s early down air yards in the first half of games:

Week 1: 2.9Week 2: 8.2Week 3: 5.2Week 4: 2.3Week 5: 15.0

This wasn’t just one or two big strikes, either.

On Allen’s 18 early-down attempts in Week 5, he threw 10 of them 12+ yards downfield and six of them more than 20 yards downfield.

In Weeks 1-4, combined, he threw only 17 passes 12-plus yards downfield and threw only six passes more than 20 yards downfield.

Despite the windy day, he matched that number in Week 5 alone.  

He hadn’t thrown a single pass 40 or more yards downfield on the season (early downs, first half).  

He threw two 50-yarders Sunday.

Next up? The Kansas City Chiefs.  

Ironically, scoring points quickly will obviously work to gain a lead, but to hold the lead against the Chiefs, the Bills likely will need to resort to their previous style. That is, in the second half, it will be vital to ensure they are in more manageable third-down distances and capable of converting them.  

As we saw Monday night, the only lead that is safe vs. Patrick Mahomes is one where your offense holds the ball and does not surrender it back to the Chiefs.

After all, records when trailing by 10-plus points among active quarterbacks, including the playoffs:

Mahomes: 12-9 (57.1%)Tom Brady: 39-63 (38.2%)Russell Wilson: 15-37 (28.8%)Lamar Jackson, Jimmy Garoppolo and Jalen Hurts:  4-10…


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Publish date : 2022-10-11 23:09:40

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Bills air it out; let Kyler Murray cook; where it goes wrong for Packers Bills air it out; let Kyler Murray cook; where it goes wrong for Packers *Bills air it out; let Kyler Murray cook; where it goes wrong for Packers