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The chances of a 5-7 team in a bowl are high

There will need to be some upsets in the final week of the college football season if there aren’t going to be any 5-7 teams in bowl games.

After Ball State came back to beat Miami (Ohio), 18-17, and secure a spot in the Bahamas Bowl, there are 74 teams eligible for bowl games. And with Rice and Appalachian State both needing to get a win to be eligible for a bowl game, the number of bowl-eligible teams will be no lower than 75. The Mountaineers are favored by 4.5 points in that matchup and need a seventh win for bowl eligibility because they have two wins over FCS teams so far this season.

But here’s the catch. There are 41 bowl games this year outside of the national title game. That means seven teams with five wins must win on the final weekend of the season for no 5-7 teams to head to a bowl game. And a lot of those five-win teams are underdogs.

Just four of the remaining teams needing a win in Week 13 are favored. Here’s a look at the lines, courtesy of BetMGM.

Favorites

Southern Miss (-3) at Louisiana-Monroe

Buffalo* (-4) vs. Kent State

Louisiana (-5.5) at Texas State

UAB (-17.5) at Louisiana Tech

*Buffalo is 5-5 after its game against Akron was postponed.

One-score underdogs

Significant underdogs

Rice (+14) at North Texas

Vanderbilt (+14.5) vs. Tennessee

UTEP (+17) at UTSA

Michigan State (+18) at Penn State

Hoping for a miracle

Which of those underdogs are you most confident in? All three of the one-score underdogs are at home, so they could conceivably win and it wouldn’t be much of a surprise. But would you count on that happening? A $50 parlay on all the favorites and one-score underdogs to win would pay over $2,000. The odds aren’t great of all seven of those teams winning outright.

That’s why it’s likely there will be at least 5-7 team in a bowl game this year. And this is where academics come into play….


Source link : https://sports.yahoo.com/college-football-bowl-projections-the-chances-of-a-5-7-team-in-a-bowl-are-high-172122533.html?src=rss

Author : Yahoo Sports

Publish date : 2022-11-23 17:21:22

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