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Walkthrough Week 12: Andrews Back on Track

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Welcome to the Week 12 Walkthrough, outlining critical fantasy football context for this 12th, glorious week of football. 

At the end of this article, I’ve included an extensive list of the stats used, what they are, why they’re useful, and where they came from. As a heads up, I use some terms interchangeably below: 

Routes per dropback = route rate = route % = route participationTargets per route run = target rate



Byes: None

Already Played: Bills, Lions, Giants, Cowboys, Patriots, Vikings


Ravens at Jaguars, 1 PM Eastern, Sunday

Ravens Implied Team Total: 23.75

To start the season, the Ravens were surprisingly pass-heavy—with a 5% pass rate over expected from Weeks 1-4. But with injuries to Rashod Bateman and Mark Andrews, the Ravens have shifted to the run in recent weeks. Since Week 7, they have a -6% PROE.

But even over that stretch, the Ravens have been balanced on first down. This is a sign that they still prefer to prioritize the pass when possible. They’ll have that opportunity this week, facing a Jaguars pass defense that ranks 28th in PFF’s coverage grades.

In terms of EPA allowed per dropback, the Jaguars don’t rate all that poorly. However, Jacksonville has had an exceedingly easy schedule. Before getting lit up by Patrick Mahomes in Week 10, they had a five-game run against Davis Mills, Matt Ryan, Daniel Jones, Russell Wilson, and Derek Carr. Jackson’s efficiency hasn’t been great this season, but he has been solid, ranking 15th in EPA per play. He could be in for one of his better games of the year.

Jackson is much better positioned to take advantage of this soft passing matchup now that Mark Andrews is off the Ravens’ injury report. Andrews’ receiving profile is off-the-charts good, and not…

Source link : https://www.nbcsportsedge.com/article/friday-walkthrough/walkthrough-week-12-andrews-back-track?cid=Yahoo&partner=ya4nbcs?src=rss

Author : NBC Sports EDGE

Publish date : 2022-11-25 06:24:16

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