NFL season win totals dropped way back in March (what a time to be alive!) and I went through every single division then, looking at my favorite immediate bets. There’s a lot more clarity now after offseason roster moves are largely done, contracts are mostly signed and we know what we’re getting … at least until we don’t after the season starts.
There’s a pick for every single team, plus a look at our SportsLine projection model simulations, but if I actually believe a team is worth betting on I’ll include a note.
You can check out NFC East and NFC West here, NFC North and NFC South are below.
Let’s get to it.
Over 9.5 (-125)/Under 9.5 (-110)
SportsLine Projection Model: 9.1 wins
It is freaking wild for the Detroit Lions to be preseason division favorites in the NFC North and maybe the third (?) best team in the NFC. Then you look at the roster … and it makes total sense. You could make a galaxy brain argument the Lions have — if you count the quarterback position — as good a roster as the 49ers. Jared Goff on the Niners and they’re the second favorite to win the Super Bowl behind Kansas City. Detroit has a top-five offensive line, Goff is playing great football, Amon-Ra St.-Brown is the biggest superstar your friends don’t realize is a superstar, and the Lions rejiggered their running game to feature a very nice combo of veteran David Montgomery and rookie Jahmyr Gibbs.
Say what you want about using first-round picks on a running back (Gibbs) and a linebacker (Jack Campbell) in terms of analytical value, but both guys are going to be impact players for Detroit in 2023. So will cornerback Brian Branch, who’s been flying around during the preseason and might allow Detroit to shift Chauncey Gardner-Johnson to safety, where he really thrived for Philadelphia’s defense last year.
The only reason to fade this Lions team is Detroit’s history of being terrible….
Source link : https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/2023-nfl-win-totals-for-nfc-south-and-nfc-north-panthers-and-falcons-on-the-rise-packers-look-sneaky/
Author : Will Brinson
Publish date : 2023-08-17 15:21:48
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