Ducks now favored to beat USC and Utah; win probability drops vs. Washington

The national view of the Oregon Ducks is starting to go up quite a bit.

While their win over the Texas Tech Red Raiders in Week 2 may not have been as impressive as it could have been, I think most common fans respect that ability to go into a hostile environment and come back to beat a decent squad. The win over Hawaii won’t get you many brownie points in general, but it’s the way that they won — completely dominating all three facets of the game — that was the most impressive.

Now, as we enter conference play, the Ducks are in a pretty good spot, finally cracking the top 10 in the Associated Press rankings and rolling with quite a bit of momentum.

After each week of the season, we like to look back at the ESPN FPI and see how the projections change based on the previous result. For the Ducks, projections are currently pretty high. The probability that they win the Pac-12, make it to the College Football Playoff, and ultimately play for a national championship game all went up over the weekend.

Take a look at the latest FPI predictions following Week 3:

(Photo by Ron Jenkins/Getty Images)

Oregon Percent Chance to Win, per FPI: 93.9%

Previous FPI Odds: 90.5%

Analysis

ESPN doesn’t appear to be impressed by what Colorado did in Week 3, needing 2 overtime periods to beat the Colorado State Rams. The Ducks are massive favorites in this one, which should be an entertaining affair in Autzen Stadium.

(Photo by Darryl Oumi/Getty Images)

Oregon Percent Chance to Win, per FPI: 96.2%

Previous FPI Odds: 91.9%

Analysis

If you lose to Sacramento State, I’d argue that your win probability against a ranked team should be less than 1%. I won’t be shocked to see this gap widen after Week 4.

Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

Oregon Percent Chance to Win, per FPI: 48.4%

Previous FPI Odds: 51.2%

Analysis

This is the only negative movement…


Source link : https://sports.yahoo.com/espn-fpi-ducks-now-favored-122714398.html?src=rss

Author : Ducks Wire

Publish date : 2023-09-18 12:27:14

Copyright for syndicated content belongs to the linked Source.

Ducks now favored to beat USC and Utah; win probability drops vs. Washington & https://www.maquillages.info/   https://maquillages.org   https://www.deguisements-fetes.fr   https://maillots-de-bain-shop.com   https://www.le-noeud-papillon.com   https://www.jeepeg.fr   https://maillotde-bain.com   https://pushkarvisit.com   -/- According to Luke Fickell, Wisconsin is ‘all-in’ on NIL   Barbie film hits $1bn mark at global box office   Zhuhai Championships: Andy Murray loses to Aslan Karatsev in last 16   Breece Hall named Jets’ offensive X-factor for 2023   Soundking AK20 BA Amplificateur pour Basse   -*-$$DAKINE Split Roller Mallette ordinateur à roulettes, 21 cm, 110 L, Carbon   Veuve Clicquot – Coffret Retraite V.Clicquot Rose   Enceinte Mobile 700W Sono Active DJ KARAOKE 12″ Autonome Batterie à LED RVB + Micro VHF USB/SD/Bluetooth – LedWood Boostar1400   Volkswagen: IT-Störung bei Volkswagen behoben   Newcastle adds BetMGM UK to its bookmaker alliances   $$* Amalia   El Rancho Place d’Italie, Centre commercial Italie 2, place d’Italie 75013 Paris   $ Ducks now favored to beat USC and Utah; win probability drops vs. Washington *Ducks now favored to beat USC and Utah; win probability drops vs. Washington