The national view of the Oregon Ducks is starting to go up quite a bit.
While their win over the Texas Tech Red Raiders in Week 2 may not have been as impressive as it could have been, I think most common fans respect that ability to go into a hostile environment and come back to beat a decent squad. The win over Hawaii won’t get you many brownie points in general, but it’s the way that they won — completely dominating all three facets of the game — that was the most impressive.
Now, as we enter conference play, the Ducks are in a pretty good spot, finally cracking the top 10 in the Associated Press rankings and rolling with quite a bit of momentum.
After each week of the season, we like to look back at the ESPN FPI and see how the projections change based on the previous result. For the Ducks, projections are currently pretty high. The probability that they win the Pac-12, make it to the College Football Playoff, and ultimately play for a national championship game all went up over the weekend.
Take a look at the latest FPI predictions following Week 3:
(Photo by Ron Jenkins/Getty Images)
Oregon Percent Chance to Win, per FPI: 93.9%
Previous FPI Odds: 90.5%
Analysis
ESPN doesn’t appear to be impressed by what Colorado did in Week 3, needing 2 overtime periods to beat the Colorado State Rams. The Ducks are massive favorites in this one, which should be an entertaining affair in Autzen Stadium.
(Photo by Darryl Oumi/Getty Images)
Oregon Percent Chance to Win, per FPI: 96.2%
Previous FPI Odds: 91.9%
Analysis
If you lose to Sacramento State, I’d argue that your win probability against a ranked team should be less than 1%. I won’t be shocked to see this gap widen after Week 4.
Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports
Oregon Percent Chance to Win, per FPI: 48.4%
Previous FPI Odds: 51.2%
Analysis
This is the only negative movement…
Source link : https://sports.yahoo.com/espn-fpi-ducks-now-favored-122714398.html?src=rss
Author : Ducks Wire
Publish date : 2023-09-18 12:27:14
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