I had a 3-1-1 week on my best bets. So close to a perfect 5-0 week, except the Seattle Seahawks gave up a miracle touchdown to the Washington Commanders with 52 seconds remaining in the fourth quarter, and the Detroit Lions defense had a tough time stopping anything. Yes, Dan Campbell’s offense looks elite, but why are we ignoring how the defense continues to give up huge plays?
I will always be honest with you in this column. This week is gross. There are several huge numbers that are surprising, but at the same time, you’ll find yourself hesitant to take the dog. At least we have a great start to the week with the Baltimore Ravens and Cincinnati Bengals on Thursday night, and then a Super Bowl rematch on Monday night with the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs.
Here’s a look at what I’m thinking this week. As always, credit to the CBS Sports research team for making me sound smart.
All odds come courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook
Top five picks ATS record: 22-25-3
Overall ATS record: 63-82-5
Straight up record: 84-66
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
Featured Game | Miami Dolphins vs. Las Vegas Raiders
I’m going to try not to think too hard about this. The Dolphins are 4-0 SU and ATS at home this season, AND 3-0 ATS as double-digit favorites under Mike McDaniel. The Dolphins are also coming off of their bye week while the Raiders are on the road. Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games following its bye week.
If you take away the Dolphins’ absurd 50-point victory against the Denver Broncos earlier this year, Miami is still winning its home games by an average of 16.6…
Source link : https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-week-11-picks-odds-best-bets-chiefs-win-super-bowl-rematch-over-eagles-dolphins-roll-over-raiders/
Author : Jordan Dajani
Publish date : 2023-11-16 14:07:00
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