Can Philadelphia make history as unique underdog?

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Has a team looked more dominant than the Philadelphia Eagles through 12 weeks of the NFL season? With wins over heavyweights like the Kansas City Chiefs, the Buffalo Bills and the Dallas Cowboys, the 10-1 Dirty Birds look like the team to beat this year.

But is that how the oddsmakers see it?

Philly has the best record in the league as well as the MVP favorite in Jalen Hurts, but it is currently a 3-point underdog at home against the San Francisco 49ers.

Philadelphia not being favored in this matchup despite having 10 wins and the best record in the NFL hast most people asking one question: Has this ever happened before?

FOX Sports Research decided to take a deep dive into the past. Let’s look at history, plus the biggest nuggets and trends from this matchup of two powerhouses.

Instances of 10-1 Team Being Underdog in Regular Season (Super Bowl Era, since 1966)

In the Super Bowl era, there have only been four instances of a 10-1 team being an underdog in the regular season. The most recent one came in 2019, with the 49ers closing as 5.5-point underdogs against the Baltimore Ravens. However, none of the previous four instances involved teams playing at home. The Eagles will be the first ever 10-1 team to be a home underdog in the Super Bowl era.

2023: 49ers at Eagles (currently +3)
2019: 49ers (+5.5) at Ravens
2007: Packers (+7) at Cowboys
1995: Chiefs (+11.5) at Cowboys
1990: Giants (+3.5) at 49ers

All four of the previous 10-1 underdogs lost, and when looking at how they did against the spread (ATS), the results weren’t much better, going 1-3 ATS (25%).

The Eagles are looking to be the first 10-1 team to be an underdog and win in the regular season. Can Philadelphia make history on Sunday? 

One-Loss Underdogs to Win (Min. 11 Games Played) (Super Bowl Era, Since 1966)

When looking at teams that have more than 10 wins and just one loss, the numbers are still shockingly low. Teams that have been 10-1, 11-1, 12-1, 13-1 and 14-1 in the regular season but still were underdogs…

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Publish date : 2023-11-29 16:19:29

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