In last year’s Exit Interview for Fantasy Football Quarterbacks, we talked about a messy season and more misses than hits. It felt like an outlier, but perhaps that’s just the new normal in the NFL.
When I start charting a position after the season, I like to use a general but interesting “Green/Yellow/Red” grading system. A green player is a definite hit, someone who positively affected your season. A yellow player was something in the middle, either a player who finished around expectations or someone who presented a mix of good and bad in the season.
The red picks are the regrets, the “Oh man, why did I take him?” players.
It’s a back-of-envelope thing, and your grading (and mileage) may vary. Maybe we’ll disagree on a few players here and there, but I suspect most of the colors would come out the same.
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When I charted last year’s top 30 quarterbacks by ADP, it fell as such: eight green, five yellow, 17 red.
This year, I charted the top 32 quarterbacks, by ADP, with a similar distribution: seven green, nine yellow, 16 red. In both seasons, it was close to a 50-50 shot that your quarterback pick would bust.
Perhaps you’re not interested in looking so deep. The top-16 quarterbacks this year grade as such: four green (Allen, Hurts, Jackson, Prescott), four yellow (Fields, Tagovailoa, Cousins, Goff) and everything else in red. Yes, that includes Patrick Mahomes.
So the bust rate was static throughout the QB file.
Let’s give a comment on every color-graded quarterback to try to figure out what the heck happened. (If you’d like to skip to the conclusions, jump to the Too Long, Didn’t Read section at the end.)
Green-Light Quarterbacks — Hits
Josh Allen — Allen showed up on 35.1% of the Yahoo finalist teams, the highest grade at this position. Buffalo’s passing wasn’t as fun after the coordinator change, but Allen’s rushing played all year.
Jalen Hurts — Once upon a time, the Eagles were 10-1 and Hurts was the MVP…
Source link : https://sports.yahoo.com/fantasy-football-qb-exit-interview-josh-allen-reigns-supreme-in-2023-marred-by-injuries-to-the-position-211057448.html
Author : Yahoo Sports
Publish date : 2024-01-10 21:10:57
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