The NFL postseason rolls on to the divisional round, and so far we’ve been cruising. After a strong 32-16 ATS record to cap off the final three weeks of the regular season, I was able to go 5-1 ATS during Super Wild Card Weekend with the only loss coming via the Dallas Cowboys getting absolutely smoked by the Green Bay Packers. I was also 4-2 on the moneyline with the other straight-up defeat coming via the Lions as I had the Rams pulling off the upset on top of covering the spread.
All in all, it was a great start to the playoffs and I’ll look to keep the momentum moving in the right direction in the divisional round where the No. 1 seeds now enter the equation.
2023 record
Playoffs
ATS: 5-1
ML: 4-2
Regular season
Locks of the Week ATS: 45-45-1
ATS: 145-116-11
ML: 174-98
All NFL odds via SportsLine consensus odds.
Saturday, 4:30 p.m. ET (ESPN/ABC, fubo)
As much as I’ve loved watching C.J. Stroud this season, his ascent as one of the best rookie quarterbacks we’ve ever seen is making the Ravens a little underrated in my opinion. He’ll now face arguably the toughest test of his young career going against this Baltimore defense. The unit ranks first in the league in fewest points per game allowed, total sacks and is tied for the most takeaways. The Ravens are also tied for the fewest yards per play allowed, are stellar on third down, and had the second-lowest red zone touchdown rate in the league with opponents finding the end zone on just 40.8% of their trips in the red area. Yes, Lamar Jackson’s previous playoff history is a bit of a concern, but I’m willing to ignore that given how well he’s been playing this season. He’s also been favorable to bettors, covering in five of his last six starts. Jackson may also get star tight end Mark Andrews back for this game, adding to their collection of pass-catching weapons.
Projected score: Ravens 30, Texans 20
The pick: Ravens -9.5
If you…
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Author : Tyler Sullivan
Publish date : 2024-01-17 15:18:29
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