The Overhang, Super Bowl edition: Chiefs-49ers key players, matchups, prop bets and prediction

(Amber Matsumoto/Yahoo Sports)

LAS VEGAS — We are here! The Super Bowl! The Big Game!

And it’s a wonderful, fantastic, simply a super matchup between two strong contenders with star players and coaches on every single unit.

On this week’s edition of The Overhang, I will preview when both the San Francisco 49ers and the Kansas City Chiefs have the ball this Sunday. (Sorry special teams, you might still be important!) There will be a few numbers to note, players I’m keeping an eye on outside of the typical stars, an important matchup that can swing the game, as well as props. Lots of props.

[How to watch the Super Bowl: TV channels, streaming and mobile options]

All data via TruMedia unless otherwise noted. All betting odds via BetMGM.com at time of writing.

When the 49ers have the ball …

Numbers to know

Third

That’s where the 2023 49ers offense ranks in combined success rate and explosive play (rushes of 12-plus yards, passes of 16-plus yards) rate among the 766 NFL offenses since the 2000 season. Their 64.9% combined rate trails only the 2011 New Orleans Saints (when Drew Brees finished with over 5,400 passing yards) and the 2004 Indianapolis Colts (when Peyton Manning delivered one of the best, if not the best, seasons from a quarterback).

Those Saints and Colts teams were more efficient, at least in terms of success rate, than this 49ers offense, but this 49ers offense is far more explosive, especially in the run game. It’s one of the best offenses we’ve seen since the turn of the millennium, no matter how you slice it up.

Head coach Kyle Shanahan has had several strong offenses before, but this season’s version feels like his magnum opus. A run game with the best running back in the game and several other All-Pro caliber skill players, plus a quarterback driving with his pedal to the metal. It can feel unguardable because …

67.6%

That is the combined target and designed rush per snap rate of Christian McCaffrey and Deebo Samuel on the 260 snaps the 49ers…


Source link : https://sports.yahoo.com/the-overhang-super-bowl-edition-chiefs-49ers-key-players-matchups-prop-bets-and-prediction-140043413.html

Author : Yahoo Sports

Publish date : 2024-02-08 14:00:43

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