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Billy Walters loves the Super Bowl. Loves it.
“I don’t know if there’s any better source of entertainment,” the renowned gambler and Vegas icon says, “even if you’re not a bettor.”
Oh, but if you are a bettor? It’s nirvana.
“If you’re a professional gambler,” Walters told Yahoo Sports this week from Radio Row, “it’s the best opportunity in the world. You can bet a lot of money, there’s an enormous market, and the lines rarely move.”
Walters, a Vegas fixture, has spent a lifetime watching lines, calculating odds and making plays, and he’s done exceptionally well doing so. He claims a 57 percent win rate on regular-season NFL games, and in the Super Bowl, he’s fared even better. Why? Well, let him share some of his advice.
“I make it real simple,” Walters says of Super Bowl betting. “I look at the quarterback, the defense, and the kicker, in that order.”
So let’s have him break it down.
1. Quarterback: Mahomes > Purdy
“Quarterback is undoubtedly the most important [factor] of all,” Walters says. “I don’t remember many Super Bowls like this, where you’ve got the experience [Patrick] Mahomes has got, but Brock Purdy has never been on a stage like this. I think he’s going to be a little like a deer in the headlights.”
2. Defense: Go with the data
“[San Francisco’s Kyle] Shanahan and [Kansas City’s Andy] Reid may be even, but defensive coordinators are night and day,” Walters says. “Frisco has a guy in his first year [Steve Wilks] who’s average at best … Kansas City’s defense is not as good as Baltimore’s but it’s pretty damn good.”
3. Kicker: Avoid the rookie
“Kickers — in the regular season they’re important, in the Super Bowl, they’re super important,” Walters says. “KC has one of the best kickers [Harrison Butker] in the game. Frisco’s got a rookie [Jake Moody] who’s shaky at best. … I’d hate to have him lined up for my money.”
All these factors, to Walters’ mind, make…
Source link : https://sports.yahoo.com/vegas-legend-billy-walters-sizes-up-the-super-bowl-for-you-175437870.html
Author : Yahoo Sports
Publish date : 2024-02-09 17:54:37
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