Between me writing a piece covering what it would cost the Giants to trade up in the draft and the piece running on CBSSports.com, the Vikings struck a massive deal that alters the landscape for the first round, acquiring the No. 23 and 232 picks in this draft from the Texans for No. 42, 188 and a 2025 second-round pick. When you plug the picks into our draft pick value chart, which is tweaked every year based on the pick trades teams actually make, the Vikings actually got a little bit of a discount based on how we treat future picks, so it’s likely the Texans front office attached more value to that 2025 second-rounder than we did.
In trading for another first-round pick in this draft, the Vikings, in theory, become a more enticing trade partner for any team near the top of the draft considering a trade down, and plenty of mock drafts on our site are projecting a trade up. The question is how competitive the trade market will be for teams looking to move up into one of those top 4-5 slots to take a quarterback. Three teams have moved up into the No. 3 slot in the last six drafts, but the prices paid range from slightly above where we value the pick and slightly above where we value the No. 2 pick.
The 2024 quarterback class is unlikely to be as highly graded from No. 1 (Caleb Williams) to No. 4 (likely J.J. McCarthy for many teams) as that 2018 class, but it’s possible there’s just as much competition to move up. The Commanders at No. 2 and the Patriots at No. 3 would likely need to be blown away to move down considering their QB need, but we can’t rule that scenario out if they aren’t 100% sold on the available prospects and if they’re presented with enough of an overpay for the pick. The Broncos and Raiders are picking right after the Vikings and have their own QB questions, with Jarrett Stidham and Gardner Minshew, respectively, likely in line to start if no other additions are made….
Source link : https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-draft-what-it-would-cost-vikings-to-trade-up-to-no-2-through-no-5-for-qb-plus-making-a-prediction/
Author : R.J. White
Publish date : 2024-03-20 17:12:30
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