The 2024 ACC season will be a landmark one as membership balloons to 17 full-time football members with the offseason additions of California, Stanford and SMU. With only eight games on the conference schedule, every team will play exactly half of the ACC before we tally up the wins and losses to decide who gets to play for the ACC championship in early December.
That kind of schedule imbalance really comes to light when we start breaking down win totals. There are good teams who will win fewer games than you might imagine because of their draw. Conversely, teams that might be off the radar will wind up in ACC title contention late in the year. Strength of schedule becomes a big talking point nationally when it comes to College Football Playoff contention, but when it comes to finishing in the top two of a division-less conference, a favorable draw is beneficial. Projecting over or under an oddsmakers win total often starts with schedule analysis, and we’ve tried to do as much in the exercise below.
So let’s get into it, offering not only an over or under for each win total but specifically calling the result of every single game on the ACC football schedule.
Over/under 4.5 wins
Wins: Duquesne, Western Kentucky, at Virginia, Pitt
Losses: at Florida State, at Missouri, Michigan State, at Virginia Tech, Louisville, Syracuse, at SMU, North Carolina
Analysis: Bill O’Brien is taking over a Boston College team that does have a quality quarterback in Thomas Castellanos and plenty of returning experience from a group that won seven games in 2023, but the schedule is much more difficult. Nonconference opponents like UConn and Army have been traded for Missouri and Michigan State. Reaching a bowl game will require multiple upsets, and…
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Author : Chip Patterson
Publish date : 2024-06-28 14:21:22
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