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Fantasy football analyst Matt Harmon does his own player projections every draft season. Here, he’ll be sharing some interesting findings from his latest results.
We aren’t necessarily going to clear up crowded WR rooms
It’s important to remember the difference between fantasy football rankings and projections when looking at crowded pass-catcher corps. The math has to work out when you go through the latter, but that doesn’t mean you need to draft based solely on that math.
If you’re doing median projections, there’s almost no way you can realistically project all three Texans wide receivers to finish inside the top 28 at the position unless you go outrageous with the C.J. Stroud forecast. You probably can’t find a way for Rome Odunze to be a relevant producer and have DJ Moore and Keenan Allen approach their ceilings with a rookie quarterback under center. It might even be a stretch to get the Packers’ top-four wideouts into the top 60 while maintaining the usability of their tight ends and/or running backs unless Jordan Love is throwing for 50 touchdowns in your model.
It’s okay to not care about that.
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Your projections won’t always line up with ADP, which right now does have the receivers corps from those three teams aggressively slotted. The idea of “too many mouths to feed” is real. Unless the quarterbacks from Houston, Chicago and Green Bay are going supernova, there will be some whiffs in those wide receiver rooms. And that’s totally fine.
Fantasy managers, in general, need to become more comfortable with a small miss in the pursuit of a big hit.
Injuries and chaos are some of the few prevailing constants in the NFL. Those unavoidable and unfortunate realities often clear up crowded situations. Let’s go to Houston as an example.
It may be unlikely that, if all three Texans wideouts stay healthy and play at their peak, Nico Collins exceeds his late Round 2, early Round 3 ADP. However…
Source link : https://sports.yahoo.com/fantasy-football-projections-2024-takeaways-145515540.html
Author : Yahoo Sports
Publish date : 2024-07-31 14:55:15
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