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While No. 1 overall pick Caleb Williams will make his NFL debut at home versus a team coming off a 6-11 record, his rookie quarterback colleagues aren’t as fortunate. The Week 1 NFL schedule has Jayden Daniels and Bo Nix both going on the road to face teams coming off winning records last season. Given the tough environments they will face in their debuts, should you fade the Commanders and the Broncos in your Week 1 NFL parlay picks?
Washington is a 3-point underdog to Tampa, according to the Week 1 NFL odds, while Denver is a 5-point underdog to Seattle. Meanwhile, Williams and the Bears are 4.5-point favorites at home against the Titans. Should your NFL parlay only include fading the teams of Daniels and Nix, or should it also include backing Williams and Chicago? Before you make any Week 1 NFL picks or NFL parlays, be sure to see what SportsLine senior analyst Larry Hartstein has to say.
A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed working for Pro Football Focus. He tied for 52nd place (out of 1,598 entries) in the 2022 Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest, going 53-34-3 ATS. Hartstein’s weekly Vegas contest selections form the basis of his NFL best bets column, which is 79-48-2 (62.2%, +25.95 units) since its inception in 2022. Anyone who has followed him is way up.
For Week 1, Hartstein has locked in three confident best bets. If you successfully parlay his picks, you’re looking at a payout of almost 6-1. You can only see Hartstein’s Week 1 NFL picks at SportsLine.
Top Week 1 NFL picks
We can tell you Hartstein loves the Browns (-2.5) to cover against the Cowboys in a 4:25 p.m. ET kickoff on Sunday, Sep. 8. All of the betting trends drastically favor Cleveland at home in this matchup. Last year, the Browns were 6-0 against the spread as home favorites, making them the only team to go…
Source link : https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/week-1-nfl-picks-predictions-best-bets-from-vegas-expert-this-3-team-football-parlay-pays-nearly-6-1/
Author : CBS Sports Staff
Publish date : 2024-08-26 16:03:05
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