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The Brinson Model™ returns! After a reasonably triumphant year for my full-season win-loss projections, we’re back for another season of trying to nail every single NFL team’s record correctly.
Looking back on last season is a harsh reminder of how hard it is to actually predict exact NFL team records. After all, this is a game played with an inflated, oblong piece of big butt that loves to bounce around randomly and create total chaos over a relatively short sample size.
I hit just three teams (49ers, Seahawks, Titans) exactly, but had another 10 within one game of their exact win total, another five within two games and another eight within three games. My average differential was 2.25 while the mean differential for all of my picks was an even two games.
The biggest mistake I made was essentially flipping Carolina and the Bucs. Whoops! The Browns and Bengals QB situations and end results created an eight-game swing for me as well. I was much, much higher on the Texans than the market and still didn’t give them enough credit. Same for the Rams. I was much lower than the market on the Chargers but somehow not low enough! On the other hand, my Patriots projection was humiliating in hindsight.
Let’s run it back. Once again, send your complaints to @WillBrinson on Twitter/X and with the same handle on Instagram.
DraftKings win total: 6.5 (over -150)
Brinson projected record: 7-10
The Cardinals seem to have somehow become a consensus fun/frisky team for 2024. Kyler Murray flashed some upside last year in this intriguing offense, and after floating in purgatory last offseason, the Cards firmly committed to their QB this offseason, doubling down and getting him Marvin Harrison Jr. as an elite WR to pair with Trey McBride. Michael Wilson and Greg Dortch are suddenly nice little secondary weapons in this offense. Jonathan Gannon’s intro presser experience gave a lot of people…
Source link : https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/2024-nfl-season-win-loss-record-predictions-for-every-team-steelers-eagles-underachieve-rams-impress/
Author : Will Brinson
Publish date : 2024-09-01 15:59:55
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