In addition to being one of the biggest surprises in the NFL with Baker Mayfield winning Most Improved Player honors, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers were one of the best teams in the league against the spread in 2023. Tampa Bay was 12-7 against the number, but will oddsmakers adjust in 2024? The Buccaneers are 3.5-point favorites over the Commanders in their season-opener on Sunday according to the latest Week 1 NFL odds. Meanwhile, one of their biggest rivals in the AFC South, the Falcons, are 3-point favorites over the Steelers on Sunday in the NFL spreads.
How should you be betting those two matchups and which Week 1 NFL lines should you target as you put together your Week 1 NFL parlay picks? Before you make any Week 1 NFL picks or NFL parlays, be sure to see what SportsLine senior analyst Larry Hartstein has to say.
A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed working for Pro Football Focus. He tied for 52nd place (out of 1,598 entries) in the 2022 Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest, going 53-34-3 ATS. Hartstein’s weekly Vegas contest selections form the basis of his NFL best bets column, which is 79-48-2 (62.2%, +25.95 units) since its inception in 2022. Anyone who has followed him is way up.
For Week 1, Hartstein has locked in three confident best bets. If you successfully parlay his picks, you’re looking at a payout of almost 6-1. You can only see Hartstein’s Week 1 NFL picks at SportsLine.
Top Week 1 NFL picks
We can tell you Hartstein loves the Browns (-2.5) to cover against the Cowboys. Both of these teams were profitable against the spread in 2023, with Cleveland going 10-7-1 against the number while Dallas was 10-8. However, they were trending in different directions in that regard towards the end of the season.
The Cowboys failed to cover the spread in four of their last five to end…
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Author : CBS Sports Staff
Publish date : 2024-09-03 17:30:46
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