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Ladies and gentlemen, we are back. After months of pretending we like other sports as much as football, the 2024 NFL season is here, and it’s time to make some money.
Week 1 is one of my favorite betting weeks of the entire year, because our preconceived notions directly face off with Vegas’ expectations. For example, is it possible Caleb Williams’ NFL career gets off to a slow start? Will the Dallas Cowboys take a major step backwards? Could the Miami Dolphins be legitimate Super Bowl contenders? Let’s get ready to overreact.
Here’s a look at what I’m thinking this week. As always, credit to the CBS Sports research team for making me sound smart.
Odds courtesy of SportsLine consensus
Top five picks ATS record: 0-0-0
Overall ATS record: 0-0-0
Straight up record: 0-0
Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC, fubo)
The Chiefs started last season a bit slow, losing to the Detroit Lions in the NFL season opener and then scoring just 17 points against the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 2. Could we see another slow start from the reigning Super Bowl champs? This is a rematch of the AFC Championship game, where the Ravens disappointed in front of their home fans. I don’t care what Lamar Jackson says, this is a revenge game, and the Ravens are absolutely motivated to start the 2024 season by righting the wrongs of 2023.
I understand there are some concerns with Baltimore’s offensive front, especially when you consider the fact that Steve Spagnuolo likes to bring pressure. But Jackson is the best quarterback of all-time as an underdog. He’s 13-1 against the spread as an underdog in his career, which is the best cover percentage by any quarterback since the AFL-NFL merger in 1970. Additionally, John Harbaugh is one of the best Week 1 coaches ever. He has the second-best Week 1 point differential (+222) by a head coach in NFL history behind the great Tom Landry.
The pick: Ravens +3
Projected…
Source link : https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-week-1-picks-odds-best-bets-bears-edge-titans-in-caleb-williams-debut-browns-top-cowboys/
Author : Jordan Dajani
Publish date : 2024-09-05 12:31:50
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