NFL Week 2 picks, best bets: Cowboys dominate Saints in home opener, sneaky shootout coming in NFC East

The NFL’s return is such a hilarious and backbreaking reminder of how close these games are, and how absurdly good Vegas is at making NFL spreads. I talked about this a lot when I predicted the Eagles would go 9-8 — people got REAL mad, but as I noted at the time, there’s not really a huge difference between going 11-6 and going 9-8. It could be a couple random bounces. 

Or maybe a really, really, REALLY poorly timed pick six by your quarterback after your team has been dominating for almost three quarters and the other team has snuck back in it thanks to a blocked punt to the house and the ensuing pick six. It’s enough to bring you to your knees. 

There was no freaking way the Titans weren’t covering that game as a 3.5-point underdog after taking a 17-0 lead and coming out of halftime up 17-3, with the Bears barely able to move the football. AND YET… they didn’t. Chicago won 24-17 with 148 yards of offense. 

The NFL is weird, weird things are going to happen, it’s a game played by dudes throwing and chasing and carrying an oblong, inflated piece of pig butt. Expect the unexpected. 

We went 2-3 in Week 1 with really tough beats on the Titans and maybe the Packers (or maybe not). We ride again with five picks this week, including a couple of overs, even though overs have not looked super swell through the first week of the season. 

Best Bets Week 1: 2-3
Best Bets YTD: 2-3

Best bets

Colts (-3) at Packers

Is this a sucker bet??? How is this not a sucker bet? The Colts are far from a perfect team and not a squad I’d be in love with taking as a road favorite early in the season. If this is Jordan Love vs. Anthony Richardson, it’s a whole different ballgame. But it’s not — it’s Anthony Richardson squaring off against Malik Willis. This is probably Packers -4 or Packers -5 if Love is starting, so the argument is the line moved too far relative to the value of a quarterback change….

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Author : Will Brinson

Publish date : 2024-09-15 11:46:20

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