Is picking NFL games tough this year or what? Not just against the spread either.
I was 7-9 straight-up last week after all the uncertainty of Week 3 that saw upsets galore and survivor pools get blown up. That dropped my straight-up record to 24-24, which tells you how crazy this season is so far. I am .500 straight-up? What the heck.
Against the spread, it was even worse last week. I went 6-10 to drop my record to 23-22-3. At least I am over .500 for the ATS picks. By the way, that record is tied for the lead in our CBSSports.com expert picks. Some experts we are.
So let’s get it turned around. We have one more week of September games, and then it’s on to October, a month where things usually start to crystallize.
Here’s hoping I can navigate this final September week without much peril. It can’t be worse than last week.
Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video)
The Cowboys have lost two straight home games, while the Giants impressed in beating the Browns last week. Dallas has issues on both lines and the Giants got all over Deshaun Watson last Sunday. But the Cowboys will tighten things up in pass protection and the defense will be better. Dallas gets back on track.
Pick: Cowboys 27, Giants 19
Bonus: SportsLine NFL expert Larry Hartstein is on a 22-8 ATS roll on Cowboys games and we can tell you he’s leaning the Over in this prime-time matchup against the Giants. Check out which side he’s taking against the spread at SportsLine.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)
This is a big early division game with both teams coming off losses. The Saints offense came back to reality last week in the loss to the Eagles and now must play an improved Falcons defense. The Atlanta offense will be challenged too by a solid Saints defense. Look for a low-scoring game with the Saints pulling off the upset.
Pick: Saints 20, Falcons 17
Bonus: The SportsLine Projection Model, which is up well over $7,000…
Source link : https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/pete-priscos-week-4-nfl-picks-ravens-cool-off-unbeaten-bills-packers-hand-vikings-first-loss/
Author : Pete Prisco
Publish date : 2024-09-25 11:59:09
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