Sam Panayotovich
FOX Sports Betting Analyst
We were finally dealt a losing weekend this season thanks to Baylor (+2) being unable to stop Colorado quarterback Shedeur Sanders’ last-second Hail Mary heave. It’s one of those losses that makes you stare at the ceiling for a half hour.
Clearly, I’m over it.
Anyway — I’ve got three college football bets and three NFL plays this weekend. Remember, this space isn’t the place for a million picks or five-team parlays. These will always be the games I love the most.
Let’s go to work.
2024 Record: (10-7, +2.3 units)
Illinois @ Penn State (-17.5, O/U 48)
This one might feel like stealing if you’re on the Illini side, but be careful. Why is the line so large against an undefeated team? Well, because Penn State’s power rating is through the roof. Yes, the Nittany Lions have played some bad teams, but they’ve destroyed them. And Illinois does not have the offensive ammo to play catch up. Don’t be surprised if this is 34-13.
PICK: Penn State (-17.5) to win by more than 17.5 points
North Carolina @ Duke (-2.5, O/U 56)
I’m going back to the well on the Tar Heels. You hate it, I know. Mack Brown’s squad gave up 70 last week after a very weird first half that saw James Madison force a fumble, block a punt for a touchdown and recover an onside kick. It got away real early — it happens. Now, North Carolina faces a rebuilding Duke team that I don’t think should be favored. Take the small number.
PICK: North Carolina (+2.5) to lose by fewer than 2.5 points, or win outright
Colorado @ UCF (-14, O/U 62)
Sharps came in real early and blasted UCF from -11 all the way out to -14.5. You certainly respect that move, although it was impossible not to notice the resistance on Colorado at +14.5 and +14. The Buffs will struggle in conference play — a la last year — but they should be able to exploit a very weak Knights’ pass defense. Also, please make sure you take the…
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Publish date : 2024-09-27 18:53:58
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