Best NFL football knockout, survivor pool picks, strategy, advice for Week 4, 2024: Dodge this heavy favorite

The Minnesota Vikings are unbeaten, but should you consider them when you make your Week 4 NFL survivor pool picks? Sam Darnold has entered the NFL MVP conversation, as the Vikings have toppled opponents three weeks in a row. However, they will face an opportunistic Green Bay Packers team that has notched back-to-back wins with backup quarterback Malik Willis. There is also a possibility that Jordan Love (questionable) returns in Week 4 after leaving Week 1 with a knee injury, and the Packers are 2.5-point favorites at home in the latest Week 4 NFL odds.

These teams have traded wins over the last few seasons, so neither is a lock to come out on top on Sunday. The safer bet could be to look at other teams in your NFL knockout pool picks. Before finalizing any Week 4 NFL survivor picks, see which team the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model just went all-in on.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 187-130 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 41-22 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022. 

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

The model can be used to crush the Survivor Pool format, which calls for picking one team to win each week but never using the same team twice. In Week 1, the model recommended the Saints as its top survivor pick. New Orleans won in 79% of SportsLine’s simulations, and the Saints dominated Carolina, 47-10, in what was the most lopsided game of the opening week. Then in Week 2, the model recommended the Chargers, who were also picked to win in 79% of…


Source link : https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/best-nfl-football-knockout-survivor-pool-picks-strategy-advice-for-week-4-2024-dodge-this-heavy-favorite/

Author : CBS Sports Staff

Publish date : 2024-09-28 13:32:14

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