The first month of the 2024 season is now in the rearview mirror, and let’s just say it wasn’t the happiest of returns to the league from a betting perspective. Almost across the board, the books have been coming out on top as the cast of characters, including yours truly, on the CBS Sports Expert Picks page are treading water to varying degrees.
What’s the cause of the books getting the better of us? Well, in part, it’s because these games have been remarkably tight. Through Week 4, 39 games have been decided by eight points or fewer, which is the most through the first month in league history. So, we’re in an unprecedented spot. That said, we press forward to Week 5, where we’ll look to turn the tide, starting with my five locks of the week.
2024 record
Locks of the Week ATS: 7-13
ATS: 24-37-3
ML: 34-30
All NFL odds via SportsLine consensus odds.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)
New England is in rough shape coming out of the first month of the season. While it enjoyed a brief moment of optimism after upsetting the Bengals in Week 1, it’s been downhill since. The offense regresses by the week and, to make matters worse, is starting to get dramatically banged up. Specifically, the O-line is where things look more dire on the injury front. Already a unit that lacks top-tier talent, New England could be without starting center David Andrews and rookie offensive tackle Caedan Wallace, who both suffered injuries against San Francisco last week.
Sure, the Dolphins look abysmal on offense against the Titans with Tyler Huntley under center, but it could be a wash considering how the Patriots offense is shaping up.
Really, this is a pick about Miami’s ability to get off the field, as it ranks No. 1 in the NFL in opponent third-down conversion rate (23.81%). New England’s offense ranks 24th in the league on third down. All this game may need is a single breakout play on offense, and the…
Source link : https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-week-5-odds-picks-best-bets-jaguars-notch-first-win-of-the-season-dolphins-send-patriots-into-spiral/
Author : Tyler Sullivan
Publish date : 2024-10-02 15:07:27
Copyright for syndicated content belongs to the linked Source.
