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A nice week for us, as we went 11-5 ATS and 13-3 SU. However, we only went 3-2 on our top five ATS picks, since the Dallas Cowboys didn’t cover vs. the Detroit Lions, and then the Philadelphia Eagles were shocked by the Arizona Cardinals. Maybe I shouldn’t say “shocked” since Philly has looked bad as of late.
Week 18 is fun, because you can’t really rely on advanced statistics or ATS records to make your picks. It’s more like, “Will Sam Darnold out-duel Carson Wentz” or “Can the Pittsburgh Steelers beat the Baltimore Ravens’ backups?” Here’s to the final week of the regular season.
Odds courtesy of SportsLine consensus
Top five picks ATS record: 40-41-4
Overall ATS record: 119-126-11
Straight up record: 156-100
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)
Following a controversial loss to the Cowboys last week, Dan Campbell is more energized than usual. He told reporters this week he’s got “controlled fury,” and that he’s got “pure octane right now.” He also said the plan is to play the starters this weekend, even though there’s just a slim chance Detroit can improve its seeding.
The Vikings were just blown out on their home field by the Green Bay Packers, and Kevin O’Connell can’t decide on a starting quarterback. Nick Mullens is back in the starting lineup, who threw four picks against the Lions just a couple weeks ago.
The main reason I like the Lions to cover this week is because their defense is coming off of a solid performance. Holding the Cowboys to 20 points at home is pretty wild, as it marked a season-low for Dallas. Before last week, the Cowboys had scored at least 30 points in every home game this year.
The pick: Lions -3.5
Projected score: Lions 27-17
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
The Titans are 0-5 ATS and 0-5 SU vs. divisional opponents this year, are coming off of a matchup in which they scored just three points and recorded 187 yards of total offense and…
Source link : https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-week-18-odds-picks-best-bets-lions-roll-vs-vikings-49ers-win-battle-of-backups-vs-rams/
Author : Jordan Dajani
Publish date : 2024-01-04 14:24:14
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