Will Jaguars reach a new deal with QB Trevor Lawrence this offseason?

Ben Arthur

AFC South Reporter

In many ways, Trevor Lawrence’s looming second contract brings uncertainty for both the quarterback and the Jaguars. 

The former No. 1 overall pick is eligible for an extension after completing three NFL seasons. From the team’s perspective, a market-setting deal could be crippling long-term if Lawrence can’t shake the inconsistency and turnover issues that have plagued a significant chunk of his professional career. And from Lawrence’s perspective, maybe he would consider passing on the security of a deal this offseason (assuming Jacksonville makes an offer) to bet on himself, with the goal of playing his way into the record contract that felt inevitable coming out of the 2022 season. 

Considering the Bengals’ Joe Burrow got $55 million per year in his extension last September, the top of the franchise quarterback market should start at or near $60 million in average annual value this offseason. That’s a benchmark that feels like a massive stretch for Lawrence.

For a Jaguars team that collapsed down the stretch in 2023, Lawrence’s numbers dipped from the previous year in completion rate (down to 65.6% from 66.3%), passing yards (4,016 last season; 4,113 in 2022), passing touchdowns (21 last season; 25 in 2022), interceptions (14 last season; 8 in 2022), passer rating (88.5 last season; 95.2 in 2022) and EPA per dropback (-.09 last season; 0.11 in 2022). 

He ranked third-worst in the NFL with 21 giveaways last season. Since entering the league in 2021, Lawrence has 60 turnovers, the most in the NFL during that span. 

Since spring 2022, there have been six quarterbacks — ranging from starters to superstars — who received their second contracts: Burrow, the Chargers’ Justin Herbert (April 2023), Ravens’ Lamar Jackson (May 2023), Eagles’ Jalen Hurts (April 2022), Cardinals’ Kyler Murray (July 2022) and Giants’ Daniel Jones (March 2022). 

Of the six, through their first three…


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Publish date : 2024-02-21 16:42:35

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