2024 NFL win totals, AFC West: Chiefs charge for three-peat, Jim Harbaugh’s value massive for Chargers

NFL season win totals are some of the most fun action to wager on — it’s a season-long gambit with week-to-week intensity because of how much every game matters for the final season record. With the explosion of legalized sports gambling, win totals have been out for a while now, but we can’t really get crystallized and concrete numbers until the NFL schedule is released.

With the schedule out and every angle of the 2024 NFL season under full scrutiny, we can finally get down to the business of betting season-long win totals. I’ll revisit these in August before the season begins but we’ll try and find some value earlier in the offseason.

I’m using DraftKings for win totals for ease of use but you should absolutely shop around and get the best number, so let’s break them down division by division. Check the rest of the divisions here as they’re released: 

                                                         AFC East | AFC North | AFC South | AFC West
                                                         NFC East | NFC North | NFC South | NFC West

Before we dive in, a couple quick notes. One, we’re picking every team but not betting every team. Two, any best bets will be denoted in bold, etc. Three, you should probably avoid actually betting on overs at this point because of how quickly injuries can flip the fortunes of NFL teams. 

Let’s get to it.

AFC West

Over 11.5 (-110) / Under 11.5 (-110) 

Pretty simple rule here: Bet against Andy Reid in Kansas City at your own peril. Last year was the first time since taking over in K.C. that Big Red managed to actually go UNDER his win total, and he did it by just a half-game, winning 11 games with some inexplicable losses (at home on Christmas to the Raiders, at home to start the season as defending champs) and with the worst offense the Chiefs have had since he took over (I think)….

Source link : https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/2024-nfl-win-totals-afc-west-chiefs-charge-for-three-peat-jim-harbaughs-value-massive-for-chargers/

Author : Will Brinson

Publish date : 2024-05-23 13:53:59

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