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Geoff Schwartz
FOX Sports Betting Analyst
NFL season win totals have been posted for several weeks, but now that the league has released schedules, we can really dive into the action.
There are two squads whose numbers really catch my eye — Pittsburgh and Dallas.
Will Steelers’ beefed up quarterback room help them win more games? And can the Cowboys keep rolling in the regular season?
Let’s dive into how I’m betting these two teams’ win totals this upcoming season.
Pittsburgh Steelers Over/Under 8.5 wins
Mike Tomlin has been the head coach of the Pittsburgh Steelers since the 2007 season. His Steelers have yet to finish a season under .500 during his coaching career. It has been a remarkable streak of excellence that he continued this winning culture at the end of quarterback Ben Roethlisberger’s career and after Big Ben’s 2021 retirement.
The Steelers win with defense and relentless energy. At times, when they make magic out of nowhere, it feels like they win with voodoo. Their offense doesn’t play a big role in their wins or losses. In 2021, their offense ranked 21st in points per game. In 2022, that ranking went down to 26th in the league and last season, it went down even further to 28th in the league.
To address the offensive issues — primarily at quarterback — the Steelers signed Russell Wilson and traded for Justin Fields. Include me in the group of people that believes neither of these quarterbacks will continue Tomlin’s annual tradition of finishing at .500 or above.
Wilson will be starting in Pittsburgh, so please do not believe the Fields hype. However, Wilson is just not good anymore. Whatever metric you’d like to use, be it passer rating, DVOA, EPA (or any other stat), none of those point to Wilson being good. Those metrics also don’t show QB primed for a bounce-back season.
While quarterback wins don’t qualify as an actual stat, it’s still an area you have to consider when evaluating the…
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Publish date : 2024-05-24 12:54:05
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