2024 NFL futures: Packers win NFC North? Why the SportsLine Projection Model loves Green Bay

With a Packers logo emblazoned on his gray sweatshirt and a million-dollar smile on his face, Jordan Love strode to the podium at the team’s complex on July 27. Less than 24 hours earlier, He had agreed to a $220 million contract extension with Green Bay, tying him for the highest-paid player in NFL history. For the next 20 minutes, he would face questions about being the league’s newest highest-paid player.

Love began his opening statement by saying he was “blessed.” Then he thanked the Packers organization and agents, among others. After a few more less-than-memorable quotes, Love concluded his statement by saying, “I’m ready to get to work and prepare ourselves for the season ahead and chase the ultimate goal that we have of winning the Super Bowl.”

Super Bowl? For this Green Bay team? Indeed, expectations are high both among the Packers and for the Packers this season. One season after reaching the divisional round of the playoffs despite being the league’s youngest team, Green Bay has the look of a real contender. 

In fact, the SportsLine Projection Model is bullish on the Packers this season. The model — which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception — is picking Over 9.5 wins (-135) for the Packers as well as Green Bay to win the NFC North (+200).

According to Stephen Oh, SportsLine’s principal data engineer and the man behind the model, the reason behind the model’s affection for the Packers is Love. Last season Green Bay started slowly and played a number of games at home before Love, who was in his first year as the starter, took off. As a result, the team averaged just 19.4 points per game with a -0.6 point differential at home. But on the road (including the playoffs) the Packers averaged 27.0 points and had a +4.6 point differential.

For this season, the model projects Love to be the…


Source link : https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/2024-nfl-futures-packers-win-nfc-north-why-the-sportsline-projection-model-loves-green-bay/

Author : Gene Menez

Publish date : 2024-08-28 17:59:53

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