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The NFL’s two-decade long bull market of passing is experiencing a mini crash at the start of the 2024 season. You’ve seen the stats and have watched the games. Interceptions are up, passing yards per game are down, and we enter Week 3 with the fewest touchdown passes through two weeks in ages.
What gives? What’s happening with NFL passing offenses? What’s written below is not gospel. I felt compelled to write on this fascinating development uniquely positioned as a draft analyst and someone who has watched every drop back of all first and second year quarterbacks in 2019, 2021, 2022, 2023 and to date this season.
Naturally, I have to narrow the focus on the quarterbacks, those responsible for moving the football through the air, the ones with the “most important player on the field” label in the NFL.
Before I begin, let’s set aside any nostalgia for how quarterbacks used to be developed. The system has never been perfect. Top picks have always busted, and the league has never featured a surplus of outstanding quarterback play.
But why the passing-efficiency dip now? Over the past decade or so, offenses in college football have gotten more “schemed-up,” meaning, more bubble screens, RPOs, and easy, high-percentage, first-read throws for its quarterbacks.
Since the dawn of the forward pass, every scheme’s primary aim has been to get the first read open. Over the past decade, those first reads have come on shorter throws with more space around them. We can thank the proliferation of spread alignments and a growing emphasis on throwing the football for that.
A major reason for the shift to ‘schemed-up’ offenses is the rise of athletic quarterbacks. They’ve revolutionized the game, not just at the college level, but across all levels of football.”
How are these two elements related? In essence, (most) college offenses of today — and the last decade — attempt to get…
Source link : https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/whats-happened-to-passing-offenses-in-the-nfl-breaking-down-the-possible-reasons-for-dip-in-qb-efficiency/
Author : Chris Trapasso
Publish date : 2024-09-18 13:14:21
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